The crisis never ends
The podcast Revolutions by Mike Duncan is probably my favorite one these days. It follows the history of different revolutions, starting with the English Revolution in the first season and continuing through to the Russian Revolution in the current and final season.
Episode 100 of the Russian Revolution season is titled History Never Ends and it tells the story of how Lenin and the Communist Leaders, in the aftermath of the October Revolution, continuously sought a “breathing spell”, when things would calm down and they could implement Communist principles and begin improving the lives of the people. From the show:
This was the logic behind the treaty of Brest-Litovsk: make peace at enormous cost because we need a breathing spell. This was the great prize to be won during the civil war. If we defeat all our enemies, we shall be able to finally work in peace. But this breathing spell they yearned for was a mirage. And it's always a mirage. We all know from our own daily lives, that fabled next week or next month or next year, when we will finally be able to do all the things we have to put off today because we're too busy, too harried and dealing with too many other emergencies, big and small, sudden deadlines that force us to drop everything, unexpected events that just upend our lives, except when we get to that next week and next month and next year we find the same set of unexpected emergencies, often the same type in category that have stalked us throughout our lives. And we are forced back into our natural state of scrambling a reaction and improvising a response.
What’s true for revolutionaries and history is also true for companies and products. There are only two modes: minor crisis and major crisis. Breathing space almost never materializes. It’s exceedingly rare for a product or company to have sufficiently cleared the field of all rivals such that there are no short term concerns1.
So what are the implications for leaders?
You have to learn to differentiate between the different types of crises. One potential frame here: do you have more momentum or problems? Another: if you look across all the products and companies you know of, how would this season rate? If it’s not obviously a time of major crisis, it’s probably a time of minor crisis.
You have to make the time and space to work on the long term. The time when it will be easy is never going to come and if you don’t do it today, it won’t be easier tomorrow.
Expect a background level of chaos and messiness. Learn to perform at a high level in the midst of it.
Notes:
In my observation, companies tend to make some of their worst decisions in their moments of least crisis
An unrelated fact I learned from this episode: the reparations placed on Germany by France at the end of World War I was calculated to be the same amount plus interest that Bismark had placed on France after the Franco-Prussian War. How did Bismark get this number? By calculating an amount identical to what Napoleon imposed on Prussia in 1807.
2022-06-27